113 forecasters

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years?

2022result: No

2023result: No

2024result: No

2024

2022

2023

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 28, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 8, 2025

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Russia raises tensions with NATO as Putin shows off his battlefield nuclear weapons

Independent•Sep 16, 2025

Russia shows off conventional and nuclear military might in drills — and raises tensions with NATO

Associated Press•Sep 16, 2025

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