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92 comments
131 forecasters

Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party?

Rishi Sunakresult: Yes
Ben Wallaceresult: No
Boris Johnsonresult: No
Authors:
casens
Opened:Oct 18, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolved:Oct 24, 2022
Elections
2022-2023 Leaderboard
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Canary•Sep 17, 2025
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Britain's Populist Moment
PJ Media•Sep 17, 2025
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Maria Caulfield, former Tory health minister, defects to Reform — UK politics live
Guardian•Sep 16, 2025
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Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

Angela Rayner
25%
Keir Starmer
23%
Andy Burnham
15%
6 others
65 forecasters

What will inflation in the UK be, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest?

2022
7.92
2023
4.2
2024
3.5
1 other
14 forecasters

What will the GDP of the UK be (in billions GBP), given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest?

2022
2230
2023
2274
2025
2297
2 others
10 forecasters
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