14 comments
40 forecasters
Before July 1, 2027, will TSMC lose large numbers of wafers in a short period of time due to attack or sabotage against one or more of its Taiwan-based "Fab" facilities?
10k / month13%
30k / month9%
300k / year6%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jan 5, 2023
Closes:Jun 30, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jun 30, 2027
Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?
37 forecasters
Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years?
86 forecasters
What percentage of Taiwan Semiconductor's employees will be located outside of Taiwan or China at the end of 2029?
23%
(16.9 - 27.6)
23%
(16.9 - 27.6)
25 forecasters