Question

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024?

Resolved:No
54
508
Total Forecasters1152
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
97.3
Community Peer Score
9.1
Authors:
casens
Opened:Oct 21, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Dec 31, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 22, 2022
Red Lines in Ukraine
Geopolitics
2022-2023 Leaderboard