Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
4
74
forecasters
2
4 comments
74 forecasters
Red Lines in Ukraine
2 more...
Depending on Ukraine re-taking control of Kherson, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?
Follow
share
embed
Russian Control
Annulled
Ukrainian Control
result:
No
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (4)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
17 comments
224 forecasters
Ukraine takes control of Donetsk and Luhansk?
4%
chance
7 comments
27 forecasters
Date of First Nuclear Detonation
Current estimate
Feb 2046
0 comments
34 forecasters
US Reaction to NATO Offensive Detonation
75%
chance
2 comments
27 forecasters
U.S. Nuclear First Use After China Drops NFU
75%
chance
0 comments
24 forecasters
First Detonation by 2050 Inadvertent
21.8%
chance
12 comments
16 forecasters
When will Russia attack NATO?
Current estimate
26 Aug 2030
9 comments
126 forecasters
Who gets nukes by 2035?
Iran
21%
Saudi Arabia
15%
South Korea
10%
Poland
5%
6 others
11 comments
40 forecasters
China Nuclear First Use After Renouncing NFU
70%
chance