8 comments
61 forecasters
When will US or NATO forces conduct military operations in Ukraine or Ukraine's occupied regions?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 21, 2022
Closes:Jan 2, 2024
Resolved:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 23, 2022
Will combat troops from NATO countries be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
15% chance
123
Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
15% chance
101
Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?
12.5% chance
121