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15
75
forecasters
5
15 comments
75 forecasters
Law
2 more...
Will a new Supreme Court Justice be confirmed by the Senate before November 6, 2018?
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Yes
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781 forecasters
SCOTUS composition change in 2026?
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2%
chance
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Will there be an unfilled Supreme Court vacancy on Jan 20, 2029?
Democratic Congress
20%
Republican Congress
7%
Split Congress
13%
8 comments
25 forecasters
Trump SCOTUS Justices by January 21, 2029
3
16.3%
4
49%
5
27.6%
6
6.1%
7 or more
1%
13 comments
33 forecasters
Date Next SCOTUS Vacancy Arises
Current estimate
15 Jun 2027
0 comments
15 forecasters
# of confirmed Article III judges in 2027-2028?
Democratic Congress
7.94
Republican Congress
11.4
Split Congress
10.4
5 comments
69 forecasters
SCOTUS Confirmations in 2025-2029?
2
40%
1
38%
3 or more
10%
0
10%
14 comments
504 forecasters
Federal judge impeached by Republicans before Jan 3, 2027?
7%
chance