🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

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Group

Depending on the US giving Ukraine fighter aircraft, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?

3
1
67 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 62

Make a Prediction

US Aircraft for UkraineMe
No US aircraft
no
Has US aircraft
annulled
Resolved Jan 1, 2024
Community Baseline Score
95.9
Community Peer Score
3.3
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Red Lines in Ukraine
Geopolitics
2022-2023 Leaderboard
US Department of State
NATO
Volodymyr Zelensky
Ukraine–NATO relations
Frank Kendall III
Donetsk Republic
John Kirby (admiral)
United States
Luhansk People's Republic

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