Question
Will Ukraine regain control of at least 50 km^2 of the Crimean Peninsula?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters146
Community Prediction
>01 Jan 2024 00:00
(>01 Jan 2024 00:00 - >01 Jan 2024 00:00)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | >01 Jan 2024 00:00 | — |
| median | >01 Jan 2024 00:00 | — |
| upper 75% | >01 Jan 2024 00:00 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Jan 2024 00:00 | 95.4% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
125.5
Community Peer Score
40.7
Authors:
Opened:Oct 21, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 4, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 22, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Oct 21, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 4, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 22, 2022