Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
10
comments
146
forecasters
Will Ukraine regain control of at least 50 km^2 of the Crimean Peninsula?
community
>01 Jan 2024 00:00
result
More than 01 Jan 2024 00:00
Share
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Question Info
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
Follow
embed
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Oct 21, 2022
Closes:
Jan 1, 2024
Resolved:
Jan 4, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:
Oct 22, 2022
Red Lines in Ukraine
Geopolitics
🏆 2022-2023 Leaderboard
News Match
Ukraine War: Pace of Russian Advances Halves, Intelligence Shows
Newsweek
•
Oct 16, 2025
How successful is Ukraine’s ‘gas war’ against Russia?
Al Jazeera
•
Oct 15, 2025
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
1%
chance
425
Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?
2%
chance
196
Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?
99%
chance
106
Show More Questions
