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13
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118
forecasters
Depending on Ukraine gaining territory in Crimea, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?
> 50 km^2
Ambiguous
< 50 km^2
result:
No
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Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
> 50 km^2
< 50 km^2
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
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Authors:
casens
Opened:
Oct 21, 2022
Closes:
Jan 1, 2024
Resolved:
Jan 2, 2024
Red Lines in Ukraine
Geopolitics
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