🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

Depending on Ukraine striking targets in Russian territory, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?

9
8
87 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 0

Make a Prediction

Strike >10km in Russian TerritoryMe
Ukraine strikes
no
Ukraine does not strike
ambiguous
Resolved Dec 31, 2023
Community Baseline Score
94.6
Community Peer Score
9.3
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Red Lines in Ukraine
Geopolitics
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Armed Forces of Ukraine
Russo-Ukrainian War
Donetsk Republic
Russian Armed Forces
Luhansk People's Republic
Temporarily occupied and uncontrolled territories of Ukraine
Institute for the Study of War
Ukraine
Crimea

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