86 forecasters

Depending on Ukraine striking targets in Russian territory, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?

Ukraine does not strikeAmbiguous

Ukraine strikesresult: No

Ukraine does not strike

Ukraine strikes

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 21, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolved:

Dec 31, 2023

Red Lines in Ukraine

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