Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
37
comments
188
forecasters
Will Ray Kurzweil be proven right?
10%
chance
Share
Predict
Comments
Timeline
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
Histogram
Follow
embed
Authors:
jzima
Opened:
Aug 5, 2018
Closes:
Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:
Aug 5, 2018
Technology
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Similar Questions
Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
85%
chance
525
Will molecular nanotechnology have been proven feasible by the following years?
2050
77%
2040
47%
2030
16%
21
forecasters
What percentage of predictions about "robotic judges" in 2070 will Terence Mauri get right?
7.73%
(1.4 - 14.6)
7.73%
(1.4 - 14.6)
22
forecasters
Show More Questions