Question
When will George R. R. Martin's “The Winds of Winter” be released?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters59
Community Prediction
09 Apr 2021
(01 Sep 2020 - 24 Dec 2021 20:34)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 01 Sep 2020 | — |
| median | 09 Apr 2021 | — |
| upper 75% | 24 Dec 2021 20:34 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >29 Dec 2021 00:00 | 24.7% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
29.7
Community Peer Score
86.6
Authors:
Opened:Aug 10, 2018
Closes:Dec 30, 2019
Resolves:Dec 30, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 12, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Aug 10, 2018
Closes:Dec 30, 2019
Resolves:Dec 30, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 12, 2018