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20
155
forecasters
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155 forecasters
Fermi Paradox Series
2 more...
Drake's Equation 1st Parameter R∗: What is the average rate of formation of suitable stars (stars/year) in our galaxy?
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Current estimate
4.47 stars/year
4.47 stars/year
(1.36 - 14.5)
Forecast Timeline
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Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
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Drake's Equation Second Parameter f_p
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9.27×10⁻⁴%
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0.0521 planets/star
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9.46×10⁻⁴%
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Drake's Equation Sixth Parameter f_c
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0.154%
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Drake's Equation Seventh Parameter L
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Total quantity of space debris by year