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192 forecasters
Drake's Equation 4th parameter f_l: On what fraction of habitable planets does any form of life emerge?
Current estimate
8.83×10⁻⁴%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Aug 22, 2018
Closes:Sep 7, 2118
Scheduled resolution:Sep 7, 2118
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 24, 2018