Question

Will a radiological "dirty bomb" be detonated in Ukraine or Russia before 2024?

Resolved:No
27
36
Total Forecasters166
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
94.7
Community Peer Score
7.3
Authors:
xfoyuo
Opened:Oct 29, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 4, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 29, 2022
Red Lines in Ukraine
Geopolitics
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