166 forecasters

Will a radiological "dirty bomb" be detonated in Ukraine or Russia before 2024?

0.1%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 29, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolved:

Jan 4, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 29, 2022