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164 forecasters
Drake's Equation 5th Parameter f_i: On what fraction of habitable planets with life does intelligence evolve?
Current estimate
3.73×10⁻⁴%
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 24, 2018
Closes:Sep 7, 2118
Scheduled resolution:Sep 7, 2118
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 26, 2018
Drake's Equation 4th parameter f_l: On what fraction of habitable planets does any form of life emerge?
8.9×10⁻⁴%
(2.24×10⁻¹⁰ - 0.093)
8.9×10⁻⁴%
(2.24×10⁻¹⁰ - 0.093)
192 forecasters
Drake's Equation 6th parameter f_c: What fraction of planets with intelligent life are capable of interstellar communication?
0.157%
(0.0287 - 0.483)
0.157%
(0.0287 - 0.483)
176 forecasters
Drake's Equation 2nd parameter f_p: What fraction of stars form planets?
0.874%
(0.681 - 0.957)
0.874%
(0.681 - 0.957)
175 forecasters