77 forecasters

Will at least ten countries have committed to any diplomatic agreement restricting solar geoengineering, before 2026?

4%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

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Authors:

Opened:

Nov 3, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 5, 2022