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9 comments
131 forecasters

Will a mission to land a spacecraft on Europa launch by 2030?

5%chance
Top Key Factors
NASA funding changes limit Europa mission prospects
Impact
Decreases Likelihood
Strength
1 vote
Europe lacks plans for a Europa lander
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
0 vote
China's unclear space priorities affect mission support
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
0 vote
Authors:
Ben
Opened:Aug 13, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 14, 2018
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Will a spacecraft made by humans land on a moon of Jupiter before 2050?

85% chance
21

Will a government space agency commence a crewed mission outside of the Earth-Moon system before 2030?

1% chance
116

When will there be a round trip crewed mission to Jupiter's orbit?

2076
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9 forecasters