107 forecasters

Will there be a war between 2 or more EU states before 2153?

54%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

Forecast Timeline

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 24, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2152

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2153

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 25, 2022