88 forecasters

Will any country have a Total Fertility Rate below 0.5 before 2053?

75%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Nov 20, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2052

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2052

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 21, 2022

Social Sciences

Russia Is Now Taking Steps to Address Their Demographic Collapse, but It Won't Work

Red State•Oct 26, 2025

Map Shows Where Global Fertility Rates Are Falling

Newsweek•Oct 24, 2025

Taiwan’s Population Crisis Worsens

Newsweek•Oct 22, 2025

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