40 comments
24 forecasters
Will any remaining FTX depositor withdraw any amount of tradeable assets from FTX before 2023?
61.8%chance
Ambiguous
The community gave this a 62% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 10, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolved:Dec 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 11, 2022
How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?
299 months
(295 - 303)
299 months
(295 - 303)
118 forecasters
How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2030?
299 months
(250 - 304)
299 months
(250 - 304)
46 forecasters
Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?
97 forecasters