Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

47 forecasters

17

47 forecasters

Economy & Business

Will a grant recipient of the FTX Foundation have their grant funds frozen, seized, or demanded back?

Forecasts

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

29 comments48 forecasters

SBF Prison Sentence Length 2030

Current estimate

37 comments161 forecasters

Sam Bankman-Fried to donate $1bn before 2031

22 comments163 forecasters

SBF Top 100 Richest People in 2030

19 comments154 forecasters

SBF as the richest person by 2050

3 comments91 forecasters

Donation to the US president influence firm benefit award in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

0 comments17 forecasters

Patient Philanthropy US Legislation by 2031

2 comments102 forecasters

Donation to the US president influence merger approval in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

6 comments21 forecasters

Open Phil Donations 2030

Current estimate