Question

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024?

Resolved :No

1k comments1k

Total Forecasters862

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

56.8

Community Peer Score

28.9

median 1.0%mean 1.0%

Authors:

Eikonal

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

2014 Ukrainian revolution

Viktor Yanukovych

Donetsk

Luhansk

Armed Forces of Ukraine

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Eikonal

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

2014 Ukrainian revolution

Viktor Yanukovych

Donetsk

Luhansk

Armed Forces of Ukraine

Ukraine says it hit oil terminal in Russian-occupied Crimea

Al Jazeera•Oct 8, 2024

Ukraine war briefing: End the war in 2025 through ‘decisive action’, says Zelenskyy

Guardian•Oct 10, 2024

Kursk offensive: As Ukraine’s incursion into Russia enters third month, Putin is trying to downplay it

CNN•Oct 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch