97 forecasters

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

Sam Bankman-Friedresult: Yes

Caroline Ellisonresult: Yes

Gary Wangresult: Yes

Sam Bankman-Fried

Caroline Ellison

Gary Wang

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Authors:

Opened:

Nov 20, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

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