Group

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

16
73
81 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 42

Make a Prediction

PersonMe
Sam Trabucco
15%
Sam Bankman-Fried
yes
Caroline Ellison
yes
Gary Wang
yes
Nishad Singh
yes
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Nov 20, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026