11 forecasters

What will be the Council on Foreign Relations' count of conflicts with critical impact on U.S. interests on January 1st, 2024?

community

5.04

result

5

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 5, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 4, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 7, 2022

2022-2023 Leaderboard

By 2030, will at least 10,000 Americans die in a single year from a single conflict?

Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?

Will the United States continue to be among the 20 countries with the largest deterioration in state stability over the 2019-2029 period, according to the Fragile States Index?