33 comments
176 forecasters
Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will Psilocybin be a clinically approved treatment for end-of-life anxiety by 2027?
63.9%chance
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Aug 30, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 30, 2018
Will the next step for the medical approval of psychedelics for mental health be taken in the US in 2025?
5% chance
204
In how many of the 50 US states will it be legal to use psilocybin for therapy on December 31, 2025?
3.82 states
(2.49 - 7.32)
3.82 states
(2.49 - 7.32)
35 forecasters
How many US states will decriminalize psilocybin on January 1, 2027?
5.53 states
(3.2 - 9.62)
5.53 states
(3.2 - 9.62)
44 forecasters