10 comments
63 forecasters
Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will we see evidence that Piracetam is a more effective Alzheimer's treatment than Memantine by 2021?
40%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 40% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 31, 2018
Closes:Jan 28, 2020
Resolved:Jan 26, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 2, 2018
Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will Psilocybin be a clinically approved treatment for end-of-life anxiety by 2027?
63.9% chance
176
Will a partial reprogramming-based therapy receive regulatory approval for treating Alzheimer’s disease before January 1, 2035?
48% chance
9
Will the next step for the medical approval of psychedelics for mental health be taken in the US in 2025?
4% chance
203