Question
When will the first commercial in-orbit refueling take place?
Total Forecasters53
Community Prediction
01 Aug 2027
(02 Jul 2026 - 27 Dec 2028)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 02 Jul 2026 | — |
| median | 01 Aug 2027 | — |
| upper 75% | 27 Dec 2028 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2036 | 2.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Dec 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2023