Question
What will be the total number of nationalities to have visited the moon by 2030?
Total Forecasters110
Community Prediction
2.18 nationalities
(1.4 nationalities - 3.86 nationalities)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 1.4 | — |
| median | 2.179 | — |
| upper 75% | 3.856 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30 | 1.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 30, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 3, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Dec 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 30, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 3, 2023