Question

Will Australia enter a recession before 2026?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters46

Community Prediction

24%

(14% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 24%

Authors:

chrisjbillington

Opened:

Dec 12, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 31, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 14, 2022

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Australia’s interest rate obsession is stopping us having an important discussion about our economic future

Guardian•Aug 12, 2025

Australia cuts interest rates by 25 bps to a two-year low of 3.6%

•Aug 12, 2025

Relief for borrowers as Reserve Bank cuts cash rate to 3.6% – and flags potential for two or three more

Guardian•Aug 12, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

23%

What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months?

4.15

Authors:

chrisjbillington

Opened:

Dec 12, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 31, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 14, 2022

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Australia’s interest rate obsession is stopping us having an important discussion about our economic future

Guardian•Aug 12, 2025

Australia cuts interest rates by 25 bps to a two-year low of 3.6%

•Aug 12, 2025

Relief for borrowers as Reserve Bank cuts cash rate to 3.6% – and flags potential for two or three more

Guardian•Aug 12, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

23%

What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months?

4.15