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8
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44
forecasters
Will Australia enter a recession before 2026?
8%
chance
7 points
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Australia is the world's 20th largest economy by PPP-adjusted GDP, and has suffered only one recession (during the COVID-19 pandemic) since 1991.
Impact
Decreases Likelihood
Strength
2 votes
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Authors:
chrisjbillington
Opened:
Dec 12, 2022
Closes:
Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 31, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:
Dec 14, 2022
Economy & Business
🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard
News Match
The RBA predicts inflation will rise faster than wages. Let’s hope it’s wrong | Greg Jericho
Guardian
•
Nov 6, 2025
The RBA governor resorts to sport cliches on interest rates while stretched Australians try to keep up with costs
Guardian
•
Nov 4, 2025
RBA holds official interest rate at 3.6% while warning of rising house prices and rents
Guardian
•
Nov 4, 2025
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