75 forecasters

Will Sam Bankman-Fried return to US soil before February 1, 2023?

99%chance

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 11, 2022

Closes:

Jan 9, 2023

Resolved:

Dec 22, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 12, 2022

118 forecasters