Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
9
190
forecasters
8
9 comments
190 forecasters
ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
2 more...
On January 1, 2024, will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
No
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (9)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
32 comments
957 forecasters
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?
21%
chance
171 comments
391 forecasters
End of Ukraine conflict
Current estimate
21 Sep 2027
32 comments
143 forecasters
Trump Ukraine War Resolution
37%
chance
17 comments
224 forecasters
Ukraine takes control of Donetsk and Luhansk?
4%
chance
7 comments
93 forecasters
Will Zelenskyy cede land for peace?
25%
chance
29 comments
121 forecasters
Ukraine War Victor According to Wikipedia
Russia
13.5%
Ukraine
5.4%
Neither
81.1%
18 comments
104 forecasters
Ukrainian control of cities January 1st, 2027
Nova Kakhovka
5%
Polohy
2.8%
Tokmak
1.5%
Sievierodonetsk
1%
10 others
94 comments
189 forecasters
Russian control of cities January 1, 2027
Ivanivske
99%
Velyka Novosilka
99%
Kostyantynivka
80%
Druzhkivka
34%
12 others