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6
124
forecasters
8
6 comments
124 forecasters
ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
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In 2023 will Ali Khameini cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran?
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11 comments
75 forecasters
Who will be Iran's Supreme Leader on Jan 1, 2027?
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57.7%
Someone else
22.2%
Hassan Khomeini
4.5%
None
3.9%
5 others
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10%
chance
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3%
chance
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End of Islamic Republic in Iran
Current estimate
Jan 2032
3 comments
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Kim Jong Un No Longer Leads DPRK
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Feb 2044
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Iran Economist Democracy Index value 2026?
Current estimate
2
21 comments
252 forecasters
Xi Jinping Leader of China in 2030?
72%
chance
3 comments
119 forecasters
Another U.S.–Iran face-to-face meeting by June 6?
20%
chance