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7
144
forecasters
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144 forecasters
ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
2 more...
On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Ron DeSantis is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024?
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16 comments
167 forecasters
Ron DeSantis president by 2029
1%
chance
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247 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?
JD Vance
44.8%
Ron DeSantis
4.7%
Marco Rubio
17.7%
Other
27%
4 others
2 comments
93 forecasters
Markets give >20% to a twice-elected president's renomination in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
4%
2027-2028
15%
5 comments
50 forecasters
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
59.9%
Republican Party
40%
Other
0.1%
0 comments
57 forecasters
1st Senators from Puerto Rico both Republican
15%
chance
7 comments
43 forecasters
Donald Trump primary voting factor in 2026 midterms?
99.9%
chance
9 comments
75 forecasters
1st Senators from Puerto Rico both Democrats
66%
chance
16 comments
161 forecasters
Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
61%
chance