Question
When will Russia launch a new major land offensive in Ukraine outside of claimed oblasts?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters110
Community Prediction
>01 May 2023
(>01 May 2023 - >01 May 2023)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | >01 May 2023 | — |
| median | >01 May 2023 | — |
| upper 75% | >01 May 2023 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 May 2023 | 94.2% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
110.8
Community Peer Score
69.8
Authors:
Opened:Dec 22, 2022
Closes:May 1, 2023
Resolves:May 8, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 23, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Dec 22, 2022
Closes:May 1, 2023
Resolves:May 8, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 23, 2022