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What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?

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37 forecasters

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Month

median

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Resolved

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CDF

	<2	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>7
community	0.1%	3.856	4.033	4.203	0.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<2	0.1%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	3.856	—
median	4.033	—
upper 75%	4.203	—
Upper bound
>7	0.1%	—

What was the final result?4.1

Community Baseline Score

77.2

Community Peer Score

14.5

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 10

May-25

Aug-24

Sep-24

Apr-25

Jan-25

Mar-25

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Dec 19, 2022

Closes:

Jun 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 15, 2025

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