321 forecasters

Will the US ban TikTok before 2024?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 19, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 20, 2022

Economy & Business

2022-2023 Leaderboard

What a deal could look like on TikTok between China and the U.S.

NBC•Sep 15, 2025

Officials announce a 'framework' for keeping TikTok online in the U.S.

NPR Online News•Sep 15, 2025

Bessent says US, China have reached ‘framework’ for TikTok deal ahead of looming ban

New York Post•Sep 15, 2025

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