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90 comments
337 forecasters

Will Russia capture or surround a large Ukrainian city before June 1, 2023?

1%chance
1%chance
ResolvedNo
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Firenze
Opened:Dec 26, 2022
Closes:May 31, 2023
Resolved:Jun 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 28, 2022
Geopolitics
🏆 2022-2023 Leaderboard
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Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

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386

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

2% chance
196

Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Ivanivske
99%
Velyka Novosilka
99%
Kostyantynivka
85%
13 others
187 forecasters
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