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38 comments
80 forecasters

Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?

203060%
204040%
205033%
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Authors:
PhilippSchoenegger
Opened:Feb 2, 2023
Closes:Jun 1, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2052
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Will the Economist stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?

15% chance
34

Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?

50% chance
39

How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years?

2023
1.047B
2025
1.08B
2032
1.14B
2 others
126 forecasters
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