Question
[Short Fuse] What percentage "yes" will Elon Musk's Twitter poll have for stepping down as head of Twitter?
Resolved:57.5Total Forecasters24
Community Prediction
57.4
(56.1 - 59)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <35 | 0.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 56.09 | — |
| median | 57.41 | — |
| upper 75% | 58.99 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >75 | 1.1% | — |
What was the final result?57.5
Community Baseline Score
19.4
Community Peer Score
3.3
Authors:
Opened:Dec 18, 2022
Closes:Dec 19, 2022
Resolves:Dec 19, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 19, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Dec 18, 2022
Closes:Dec 19, 2022
Resolves:Dec 19, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 19, 2022