Group

What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months?

56 comments56

23 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Month

median

PDF

Closed for forecasting

Resolved

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Forecast Timeline

Dec-22

Jan-23

Feb-23

Mar-23

Apr-23

May-23

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Dec 20, 2022

Closes:

Sep 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Sep 15, 2025

Economic Indicators

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

2023 Leaderboard

2022 Leaderboard

2024 Leaderboard

2022-2023 Leaderboard

2024-2025 Leaderboard

2025 Leaderboard

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

United States

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Are Investors Tuning Out Tariffs Too Soon?

•Jun 17, 2025

June Fed Meeting: Live Updates and Commentary

•Jun 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?

4.28

What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months?

4.11

What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following months?

330