8 comments
44 forecasters
Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?
32.1%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 24, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2080
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2080
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 26, 2023
When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?
2078
(Jan 2056 - 2112)
2078
(Jan 2056 - 2112)
49 forecasters
When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?
Mar 2059
(Aug 2047 - >2100)
Mar 2059
(Aug 2047 - >2100)
13 forecasters
Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?
1% chance
20