Question
Will the 'Effective Altruism' movement continue to grow through 2020?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters129
Community Prediction
40%
(24% - 50%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
-31.3
Community Peer Score
31.3
Authors:
Opened:Sep 13, 2018
Closes:Sep 1, 2019
Resolves:Jan 3, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 13, 2018
Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?
79%
Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?
40%
In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?
85%
Authors:
Opened:Sep 13, 2018
Closes:Sep 1, 2019
Resolves:Jan 3, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 13, 2018
Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?
79%
Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?
40%
In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?
85%