Question

On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Gavin Newsom is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters100
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
92.6
Community Peer Score
7.6
Authors:
Opened:Dec 22, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 12, 2023