Question

On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Luhansk?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters204
Community Prediction
0.2%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
86.7
Community Peer Score
12.6
Authors:
Opened:Dec 22, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Dec 31, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 12, 2023