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8
117
forecasters
6
8 comments
117 forecasters
ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
2 more...
On January 1, 2024, will Joe Biden have a positive (approval minus disapproval) rating?
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No
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US president's net worth 4x during their presidency?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
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Markets give >20% to a twice-elected president's renomination in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
4%
2027-2028
15%
7 comments
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Donald Trump primary voting factor in 2026 midterms?
99.9%
chance
13 comments
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Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?
20%
chance
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Change in Average Inflation Rate 2028 PV Prediction
"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will correctly predict the 2028 Popular Vote Winner
60%
"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will be below 0% for the 2028 election
40%