6 comments
129 forecasters
In 2023 will the UK hold a general election?
0.1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 22, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolved:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 12, 2023
Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?
2% chance
192
When will the next Scottish independence referendum be held?
Oct 2032
(11 Oct 2029 - >Jan 2035)
Oct 2032
(11 Oct 2029 - >Jan 2035)
65 forecasters
When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?
56% chance
163