Question

In 2023 will the UK hold a general election?

Resolved:No

6 comments6

Total Forecasters129

Community Prediction

0.1%

(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

88.5

Community Peer Score

9.9

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Dec 22, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 12, 2023

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Elections

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?

When will the next Scottish independence referendum be held?

Aug 2032

When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?

55%